An economic analyst and Head of Banking
and Finance Department at the Nasarawa State University, Dr. Uche
Uwaleke, said this while delivering a paper at a seminar organised by
the Central Bank of Nigeria for financial journalists in Sokoto tuesday.
He pointed out that the import-dependent structure of the Nigerian
economy had led to the depletion the nation’s foreign exchange reserves,
fuelled inflation, depressed growth and created unemployment.
The present situation of the Nigerian economy, he added, provides an opportunity to look inward in a bid to trigger economic growth and development.
The present situation of the Nigerian economy, he added, provides an opportunity to look inward in a bid to trigger economic growth and development.
“In order to boost the economy, the
current demand management which involves forex access restrictions of
items that can be produced locally, should be contained. I am not saying
that the policy should be kept forever, but we should sustain it until
we get out of recession. If our reserves get to a comfort zone of about
$32 billion, then we can begin to think of how to relax the policy,” he
added.
He urged the CBN, through its
development finance function, to identify certain goods that can be
produced locally and provide incentives for SMEs to be able to produce
locally.
In addition, Uwaleke charged federal
government to ensure that the proceeds of the Eurobond id judiciously
utilised as investors are more concerned about the interest they would
get on their investments more than what the investments was used for.
Uwaleke said the Nigerian Eurobond was oversubscribed despite downgrades
by rating agencies because investors saw a better yeild as opposed to
what they would get in European markets.
Uwaleke said Nigeria was due to repay the $500 million Eurobond it raised in 2013 next year.
“I looked at the budget implementation
report starting from 2013 up till now and the latest budget
implementation reports on the website of the budget office is first
quarter of 2016, and I cannot place my finger on what was done with the
Eurobond that was issued in 2013 which will have to repay next year.
“We can’t trace it. The $500 million we
did was just meant to test the world market. But again we need to see
what it was used for.”
He also noted that the cost of the latest $1 billion Eurobond issued by the country was high.
“If we didn’t have a reserve, this Eurobond outing wouldn’t have been a success because all those investors are looking at your reserves” he stated, even as he urged the country to focus more on accumulating its reserves before deciding to fully float the currency.
“If we didn’t have a reserve, this Eurobond outing wouldn’t have been a success because all those investors are looking at your reserves” he stated, even as he urged the country to focus more on accumulating its reserves before deciding to fully float the currency.
According to him, Nigeria needs a
minimum of $32 billion in reserves which will be comfortably enough for
seven months of imports before it floats the currency. Querying the
school of thought that says the CBN should allow the market determine
the value of the naira, he said the supply of forex was yet to be enough
to leave the currency to market forces.
He charged the monetary authorities not
to succumb to pressure saying Egypt which succumbed to pressure of
free-float its currency, has seen its currency depreciate more than
envisaged.
“If we don’t have this $32 billion, we
shouldn’t be thinking of floating the currency. Nigeria needs a minimum
of $32 billion to be regarded as comfortable and that is enough to
finance 7 months of funding. So if we don’t have this $32 billion, we
shouldn’t be thinking of floating the currency.”
Uwaleke added: “Egypt was advised not to
float the currency until they got to $25 billion reserve but because
Egypt was pressured and in a hurry to get $12 billion IMF loan they did
the currency float much earlier and they have now seen the outcome. So
when people say Nigeria should float, why don’t we look at what happened
elsewhere.”
THIS DAY
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