As the Republican convention kicks off
in Cleveland, Hillary Clinton has maintained lead in poll for the United
States presidency. According to the CNN/ORC poll, in a four-way matchup
between Clinton, Trump, Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein,
Clinton carries 42%, Trump 37%, Johnson 13% and Stein 5%.
Typically, support for third party
candidates fades as the major party tickets are set heading into their
conventions. But Johnson’s support outpaces that of a typical third
party candidate and may prove to have more staying power.
Support for both Johnson and Stein
appears concentrated among those less enthusiastic about voting this
year, suggesting their supporters may be less apt to turn out in the
end. Nearly 4-in-10 voters who say they are “not at all enthusiastic”
about voting this year say they back either Johnson or Stein, but among
those who are extremely enthusiastic, that figure falls to just 6%.
And the growing support for third party
candidates also seems centered among younger voters, which could prove
harmful to Clinton’s campaign. Among those voters under age 35, 46% back
Clinton, 21% Trump, 20% Johnson and 10% Stein. Broad support among
younger voters helped catapult Barack Obama to the presidency in 2008.
As Trump prepares to accept his party’s
nomination, the poll suggests he’s increased his backing among
Republicans. The share of GOP voters who say they’d prefer Trump as the
nominee over someone else has increased from 51% in June to 56% now.
In a two-way matchup, Clinton tops Trump 49% to 42%.
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